This morning I came across the Edelman Trust Index survey for 2009 and it's worth a look.
On the face of it, there are some interesting findings.
Perhaps unsurprisingly, the survey found that people have less trust in corporations than they did last year. Banks in particular have lost 'trust'.
The survey seems to show that there are marked regional variations - people in the Far East have different attitudes to US or European respondents.
There is also a section on the surces of information that people trust. It seems that we trust the media and senior business people less and less.
I've only read the executive summary and I do recommend the excellent Edelman website which shows an impressive use of new media.
However, I am increasingly dubious myself about the trustworthiness of surveys such as these.
Yet the main thing that concerns me is trying to work out how robust the research is.
A look around the website tells me that "The 2009 Edelman
Trust Barometer survey sampled 4,475 informed publics in two age groups (25-34
and 35-64). All informed publics met the following criteria: college-educated;
household income in the top quartile for their age in their country; read or
watch business/news media at least several times a week; follow public policy
issues in the news at least several times a week. "
I am not sure what an 'Informed public" is - I wonder if it is an individual person? Elsewhere they say that they approached 'Opinion Leaders". So if we are talking about individuals, 4,475 seems quite a small number of people world-wide on which to draw strong conclusions. Over 20 countries, we may be drawing conclusions based on the views of 200 people.
Of itself, this is not necessarily a bad thing. If it's the right 200 people, then its an interesting set of results. So it would be nice to know what proportion of the total universe '4,475 informed publics' is? If there are only 5,000 of these people out there it's a pretty telling and robust sample. If it's 5 billion, the figures are much less impressive.
Last year's report has a much more helpful breakdown on methodology and seems to imply that the sample is about 18% bigger this year. It would be interesting to see what else has changed before relying too much on the messages about change.
Maybe I'm becoming more cynical in my old age but I do get a bit concerned about these big news stories citing amazing trends. I've recently become a fan of the BBC Radio Show More Or Less which examines the basis on which figures get quoted in the media (the podcast is really excellent) which might be why I've started to think about this sort of stuff.
Perhaps most alarming is the thought that people might change their behaviour or how they work because of what they read into these things. I think there is no substitute for doing your own research into your own audiences - relying on the PR survey from a PR agency selling its services as an advisor may not be a smart move by a communications professional.
Liam
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